Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.235557 1.524532 1.841854 2.213167 2.632753 3.089341 3.620873
2025-05-25 0.839713 1.219241 1.679672 2.265750 2.978463 3.804358 4.820831
2025-06-01 0.624546 1.060172 1.639001 2.430034 3.449449 4.687616 6.273229
2025-06-08 0.435806 0.877904 1.523658 2.468905 3.753320 5.378669 7.530802
2025-06-15 0.335758 0.791457 1.514319 2.633325 4.217562 6.284622 9.088682
2025-06-22 0.249130 0.696415 1.468830 2.731113 4.587551 7.077351 10.527444
2025-06-29 0.177636 0.600568 1.399263 2.776391 4.876327 7.765139 11.845782
2025-07-06 0.115163 0.492935 1.284202 2.730198 5.019671 8.251149 12.903560
2025-07-13 0.078943 0.426538 1.226994 2.764554 5.275673 8.893864 14.181852
2025-07-20 0.052241 0.367574 1.169373 2.786905 5.507550 9.503415 15.424091
2025-07-27 0.029658 0.299278 1.073872 2.727409 5.601104 9.910454 16.390074
2025-08-03 0.015592 0.243823 0.990464 2.676137 5.698460 10.319329 17.361563
2025-08-10 0.008254 0.208168 0.946713 2.697880 5.921467 10.929711 18.646739
2025-08-17 0.002990 0.164893 0.867590 2.637943 6.000973 11.324756 19.632822
2025-08-24 0.001542 0.152724 0.874599 2.756035 6.391608 12.204693 21.337350
2025-08-31 0.000387 0.128078 0.833466 2.765088 6.589148 12.789786 22.622264
2025-09-07 0.000154 0.123744 0.859619 2.924637 7.060965 13.812932 24.566948
2025-09-14 0.000020 0.112735 0.857975 3.020090 7.419310 14.664311 26.270778
2025-09-21 NaN 0.097841 0.835350 3.063551 7.682617 15.369392 27.767393
2025-09-28 NaN 0.076881 0.776189 3.011534 7.763772 15.782742 28.832894
2025-10-05 NaN 0.065702 0.754122 3.046910 8.009100 16.463886 30.308824
2025-10-12 NaN 0.055232 0.728830 3.070086 8.229878 17.107233 31.734156
2025-10-19 NaN 0.041445 0.673441 3.006132 8.276196 17.462988 32.725331